Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008902 0.010568 0.012593 0.015281 0.018825 0.023443 0.030100
2025-04-27 0.006942 0.008942 0.011681 0.015869 0.022431 0.032970 0.052841
2025-05-04 0.005750 0.007785 0.010790 0.015839 0.024800 0.041783 0.082559
2025-05-11 0.004968 0.006976 0.010115 0.015793 0.026966 0.051524 0.126803
2025-05-18 0.004329 0.006243 0.009362 0.015334 0.028096 0.059940 0.183501
2025-05-25 0.003781 0.005559 0.008544 0.014509 0.028095 0.065704 0.246759
2025-06-01 0.003380 0.005055 0.007945 0.013945 0.028463 0.073002 0.345267
2025-06-08 0.003169 0.004838 0.007816 0.014306 0.031284 0.091287 0.628854
2025-06-15 0.002927 0.004536 0.007478 0.014126 0.032598 0.105936 1.064751
2025-06-22 0.002654 0.004149 0.006922 0.013327 0.031797 0.110830 1.485338
2025-06-29 0.002508 0.003975 0.006761 0.013427 0.033868 0.133556 3.334239
2025-07-06 0.002415 0.003890 0.006764 0.013930 0.037601 0.174376 14.537729
2025-07-13 0.002335 0.003835 0.006857 0.014797 0.043747 0.258368 16464.130851
2025-07-20 0.002233 0.003728 0.006826 0.015350 0.049378 0.376060 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002102 0.003551 0.006613 0.015321 0.052522 0.496004 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001986 0.003390 0.006412 0.015278 0.055709 0.663829 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001859 0.003196 0.006110 0.014839 0.056512 0.806364 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001726 0.002979 0.005726 0.014050 0.054794 0.868766 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001619 0.002807 0.005434 0.013510 0.054348 0.996365 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001566 0.002745 0.005404 0.013856 0.060040 1.630663 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001493 0.002634 0.005237 0.013683 0.062141 2.252072 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001399 0.002471 0.004923 0.012918 0.059297 2.306743 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001350 0.002404 0.004847 0.013014 0.063373 3.818107 NaN